Not just energy: How the Iran war could trigger a global food crisis

A potential conflict involving Iran threatens to disrupt global fertilizer supplies, creating risks for food production worldwide. Iran is a major producer of ammonia and other fertilizers essential to agriculture, and any war-related disruption to exports or production could create acute shortages in the international market. Such a shortage would drive up fertilizer costs and reduce crop yields in countries dependent on imports, particularly in developing nations with limited reserves. The fertilizer crisis would compound existing food security concerns and potentially trigger price spikes for staple crops across multiple continents. The scenario underscores how regional military conflicts increasingly have cascading effects on global supply chains and food systems beyond the immediate conflict zone.