Democrats press Trump administration on insider trading in prediction markets

The Hill
by Julia Shapero
March 30, 2026
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4 min read

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Democrats demand Trump administration ban federal employees from trading on prediction markets using government secrets.

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More than 40 Democratic lawmakers, led by Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, sent a letter Sunday to the heads of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Office of Government Ethics demanding that the Trump administration issue guidance prohibiting federal employees from using nonpublic information to trade on prediction markets. The letter reflects Democratic concern that administration officials could exploit access to confidential government information for personal financial gain in the growing market for political and economic prediction contracts. Prediction markets have surged in popularity and trading volume in recent months, creating new opportunities for potential insider trading that existing regulations may not adequately address. The Democrats are calling for explicit rules that would clarify the legal boundaries around federal employee participation in these markets and close potential loopholes. The request puts pressure on Trump administration officials to demonstrate commitment to ethics rules governing financial conflicts of interest.

What's Being Done

Over 40 Democratic lawmakers led by Sen. Elizabeth Warren sent a letter to the CFTC and Office of Government Ethics demanding guidance prohibiting insider trading in prediction markets.

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