Bailey faces uphill battle in Illinois governor’s race against Pritzker

The Hill
by Elizabeth Prann
March 20, 2026
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3 min read

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Republican Darren Bailey secured GOP nomination for Illinois governor but faces heavy Democratic advantage against incumbent JB Pritzker.

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Republican Darren Bailey has secured the GOP nomination for Illinois governor and will face Democratic incumbent JB Pritzker in a November rematch, despite significant structural disadvantages in a heavily Democratic state. Pritzker defeated Bailey by 12 points in their 2022 contest, and Illinois voters have consistently backed Democrats in statewide races in recent cycles. Bailey's second bid for the governorship puts him in an uphill battle against an incumbent governor in a state where Republican candidates face steep headwinds. Pritzker's substantial margin of victory two years ago and the state's recent voting patterns suggest the Democratic incumbent enters the race as a heavy favorite.

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